Written by Clayton Davis, Variety
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
| And The Predicted Nominees Are: | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Film | Costume Designer(s) | Distributor |
| 1 | “Elvis” | Catherine Martin | Warner Bros. |
| The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker. | |||
| 2 | “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” | Ruth E. Carter | Marvel Studios |
| The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa. | |||
| 3 | “The Fabelmans” | Mark Bridges | Universal Pictures |
| A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen. | |||
| 4 | “The Woman King” | Gersha Phillips | TriStar Pictures |
| A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries. | |||
| 5 | “Living” | Sandy Powell | Sony Pictures Classics |
| An English-language adaptation of the script of “Ikiru” (1952), set in London in the 1950s. | |||
| Next in Line | |||
| 6 | “Babylon” | Mary Zophres | Paramount Pictures |
| Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters. | |||
| 7 | “White Noise” | Ann Roth | Netflix |
| Dramatizes a contemporary American family’s attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world. |
|||
| 8 | “Empire of Light” | Alexandra Byrne | Searchlight Pictures |
| “Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the South Coast of England in the 1980s. | |||
| 9 | “Everything Everywhere All at Once” | Shirley Kurata | A24 |
| An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led. | |||
| 10 | “The Banshees of Inisherin” | Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh | Searchlight Pictures |
| Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them. |
|||
| Other Top-Tier Contenders | |||
| 11 | “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” | Jenny Eagan | Netflix |
| 12 | “Emancipation” | Francine Jamison-Tanchuck | Apple Original Films |
| 13 | “Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore” | Colleen Atwood | Warner Bros. |
| 14 | “Don’t Worry Darling” | Arianne Phillips | Warner Bros |
| 15 | “Till” | Marci Rodgers | Orion/United Artists Releasing |
| 16 | “Women Talking” | Quita Alfred | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 17 | “Blonde” | Jennifer Johnson | Netflix |
| 18 | “Corsage” | Monika Buttinger | IFC Films |
| 19 | “The Northman” | Linda Muir | Focus Features |
| 20 | “Downton Abbey: A New Era” | Maja Meschede, Anna Robbins | Focus Features |
| Also In Contention | |||
| 21 | “Armageddon Time” | Madeline Weeks | Focus Features |
| 22 | “Amsterdam” | J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky | 20th Century Studios |
| 23 | “The Pale Blue Eye” | Kasia Walicka-Maimone | Netflix |
| 24 | “Matilda” | Rob Howell | Netflix |
| 25 | “My Policeman” | Annie Symons | Amazon Studios |
| 26 | “The Wonder” | Odile Dicks-Mireaux | Netflix |
| 27 | “Mr. Malcolm’s List” | Pam Downe | Amazon Studios |
| 28 | “Top Gun: Maverick” | Marlene Stewart | Paramount Pictures |
| 29 | “Argentina, 1985” | Mónica Toschi | Amazon Studios |
| 30 | “Catherine Called Birdy” | Julian Day | Amazon Studios |
| All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical) | |||
| — | “A Love Song” | Stine Dahlman | Bleecker Street |
| — | “A Man Called Otto” | Frank L. Fleming | Sony Pictures |
| — | “After Yang” | Arjun Bhasin | A24 |
| — | “All Quiet on the Western Front” | Lisy Christi | Netflix |
| — | “All the Old Knives” | Stephanie Collie | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Amsterdam” | J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky | 20th Century Studios |
| — | “Argentina, 1985” | Mónica Toschi | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Armageddon Time” | Madeline Weeks | Focus Features |
| — | “Athena” | To be added | Netflix |
| — | “Avatar: The Way of Water” | Deborah Lynn Scott | 20th Century Studios |
| — | “Babylon” | Mary Zophres | Paramount Pictures |
| — | “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” | Anna Terrazas | Netflix |
| — | “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” | Ruth E. Carter | Marvel Studios |
| — | “Blonde” | Jennifer Johnson | Netflix |
| — | “Bones and All” | Giulia Piersanti | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| — | “Breaking” | Eric Yake | Bleecker Street |
| — | “Bros” | Tom Broecker | Universal Pictures |
| — | “Catherine Called Birdy” | Julian Day | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Causeway” | To be added | A24/Apple Original Films |
| — | “Corsage” | Monika Buttinger | IFC Films |
| — | “Decision to Leave” | To be added | Mubi |
| — | “Devotion” | Deirdra Elizabeth Govan | Sony Pictures |
| — | “Dog” | Dayna Pink | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| — | “Don’t Worry Darling” | Arianne Phillips | Warner Bros |
| — | “Downton Abbey: A New Era” | Maja Meschede, Anna Robbins | Focus Features |
| — | “Elvis” | Catherine Martin | Warner Bros. |
| — | “Emancipation” | Francine Jamison-Tanchuck | Apple Original Films |
| — | “Emergency” | Icy White | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Empire of Light” | Alexandra Byrne | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | “Everything Everywhere All at Once” | Shirley Kurata | A24 |
| — | “Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore” | Colleen Atwood | Warner Bros. |
| — | “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” | Jenny Eagan | Netflix |
| — | “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande” | Sian Jenkins | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” | To be added | Netflix |
| — | “Happening” | To be added | IFC Films |
| — | “Holy Spider” | To be added | Utopia |
| — | “I Wanna Dance With Somebody” | To be added | Sony Pictures |
| — | “Lady Chatterley’s Lover” | Emma Fryer | Netflix |
| — | “Living” | Sandy Powell | Sony Pictures Classics |
| — | “Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile” | Kym Barrett | Sony Pictures |
| — | “Master” | Mirren Gordon-Crozier | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Matilda” | Rob Howell | Netflix |
| — | “Montana Story” | Catherine George | Bleecker Street |
| — | “Mr. Malcolm’s List” | Pam Downe | Amazon Studios |
| — | “My Policeman” | Annie Symons | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Nanny” | Charlese Antoinette Jones | Amazon Studios |
| — | “Nope” | Alex Bovaird | Universal Pictures |
| — | “See How They Run” | Odile Dicks-Mireaux | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | “She Said” | Brittany Loar | Universal Pictures |
| — | “Spoiler Alert” | To be added | Focus Features |
| — | “Tár” | Bina Daigeler | Focus Features |
| — | “The Banshees of Inisherin” | Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | “The Batman” | Jacqueline Durran | Warner Bros. |
| — | “The Fabelmans” | Mark Bridges | Universal Pictures |
| — | “The Good Nurse” | Amy Westcott | Netflix |
| — | “The Greatest Beer Run Ever” | To be added | Apple Original Films |
| — | “The Inspection” | To be added | A24 |
| — | “The Menu” | Amy Westcott | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | “The Northman” | Linda Muir | Focus Features |
| — | “The Pale Blue Eye” | Kasia Walicka-Maimone | Netflix |
| — | “The Son” | Lisa Duncan | Sony Pictures Classics |
| — | “The Whale” | Danny Glicker | A24 |
| — | “The Woman King” | Gersha Phillips | TriStar Pictures |
| — | “The Wonder” | Odile Dicks-Mireaux | Netflix |
| — | “Thirteen Lives” | Tess Schofield | Amazon Studios/MGM |
| — | “Three Thousand Years of Longing” | To be added | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| — | “Till” | Marci Rodgers | Orion/United Artists Releasing |
| — | “Top Gun: Maverick” | Marlene Stewart | Paramount Pictures |
| — | “Triangle of Sadness” | Sofie Krunegård | Neon |
| — | “Where the Crawdads Sing” | Mirren Gordon-Crozier | Sony Pictures |
| — | “White Noise” | Ann Roth | Netflix |
| — | “Women Talking” | Quita Alfred | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
